Mirassol vs Internacional odds & probabilities

Brasileirao · Fri, 16 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UK

Mirassol

2–0

Full time

Internacional

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

What do you say? Vote

Match result odds

Mirassol44%

Draw26%

Internacional30%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.29

Mirassol

1.23

Internacional

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Mirassol to Win44%43%2.32

Draw26%28%3.62

Internacional to Win30%29%3.42

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Mirassol or Draw70%71%1.41

Internacional or Draw56%57%1.76

Mirassol or Internacional to Win74%72%1.38

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals94%90%1.11

Under 0.5 Goals7%10%9.91

Over 1.5 Goals76%73%1.37

Under 1.5 Goals25%27%3.69

Over 2.5 Goals50%50%2.02

Under 2.5 Goals50%51%1.98

Over 3.5 Goals26%30%3.39

Under 3.5 Goals74%71%1.42

Over 4.5 Goals12%16%6.41

Under 4.5 Goals88%84%1.19

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes55%54%1.85

Both Teams to Score - No45%46%2.18

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Mirassol to Score First47%51%1.98

No Goal8%8%12.07

Internacional to Score First45%41%2.43

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Mirassol Leads at Half-time29%––

Half-time Draw44%––

Internacional Leads at Half-time27%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Mirassol vs Internacional match analysis

Download image

Mirassol face Internacional on 16 October 2026 (Brasileirao). The MatchIQ model rates a Mirassol win at 44%, a draw at 26% and a Internacional win at 30%, which makes Mirassol the favourite at 44%. The margin-free average of 46 bookmakers is 43%, 28% and 29% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.29 for Mirassol and 1.23 for Internacional, 2.52 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 76%, over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.