Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction

Bundesliga · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UK

Borussia Mönchengladbach

16:30

1d 2h

1899 Hoffenheim

Our picks

Double chance
Borussia Mönchengladbach or 1899 Hoffenheim to Win
Model 75% · Bookmakers 76.5%
Odds1.2476%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach34%

Draw25%

1899 Hoffenheim41%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 49 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.51

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.80

1899 Hoffenheim

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Borussia Mönchengladbach or 1899 Hoffenheim to Win" a 75% chance; the bookmaker average is 77%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.51, 1899 Hoffenheim 1.80; most likely score 1-1 (10%). Average odds at publication: 1.24.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach to Win34%31%3.26

Draw25%24%4.26

1899 Hoffenheim to Win41%46%2.18

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw59%54%1.85

1899 Hoffenheim or Draw66%69%1.44

Borussia Mönchengladbach or 1899 Hoffenheim to WinMatchIQ pick75%77%1.31

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals97%94%1.07

Under 0.5 Goals3%6%15.71

Over 1.5 Goals87%85%1.18

Under 1.5 Goals13%15%6.59

Over 2.5 Goals69%67%1.48

Under 2.5 Goals31%33%3.07

Over 3.5 Goals49%48%2.10

Under 3.5 Goals51%52%1.91

Over 4.5 Goals26%29%3.41

Under 4.5 Goals74%71%1.42

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes67%68%1.47

Both Teams to Score - No33%32%3.11

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach to Score First44%43%2.31

No Goal4%4%25.71

1899 Hoffenheim to Score First52%53%1.90

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach Leads at Half-time28%––

Half-time Draw38%––

1899 Hoffenheim Leads at Half-time35%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 49 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim match analysis

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Borussia Mönchengladbach face 1899 Hoffenheim on 18 October 2026 (Bundesliga). The MatchIQ model rates a Borussia Mönchengladbach win at 34%, a draw at 25% and a 1899 Hoffenheim win at 41%, which makes 1899 Hoffenheim only a slight favourite in a balanced match at 41%. The margin-free average of 49 bookmakers is 31%, 24% and 46% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.51 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.80 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 3.31 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 87%, over 2.5 at 69% and both teams to score at 67%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).

Featured pick: The model gives "Borussia Mönchengladbach or 1899 Hoffenheim to Win" a 75% chance; the bookmaker average is 77%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.51, 1899 Hoffenheim 1.80; most likely score 1-1 (10%). Average odds at publication: 1.24.

We published 1 pick for this match; each is recorded at the odds available when it went out and settles automatically at full time. Confidence blends our model's probability with the market's; it is not a guarantee. Every past result, losses included, is on the Results page.