Cesena vs Avellino odds & probabilities

Serie B · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK

Cesena

16:15

1d 3h

Avellino

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Cesena46%

Draw29%

Avellino26%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 43 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.42

Cesena

1.19

Avellino

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Cesena to Win46%42%2.39

Draw29%29%3.41

Avellino to Win26%29%3.46

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Cesena or Draw74%71%1.41

Avellino or Draw55%58%1.72

Cesena or Avellino to Win71%71%1.42

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals92%89%1.12

Under 0.5 Goals8%11%9.00

Over 1.5 Goals78%73%1.36

Under 1.5 Goals23%27%3.75

Over 2.5 Goals52%50%2.00

Under 2.5 Goals48%50%2.00

Over 3.5 Goals27%30%3.30

Under 3.5 Goals73%70%1.43

Over 4.5 Goals11%16%6.19

Under 4.5 Goals89%84%1.19

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes52%55%1.82

Both Teams to Score - No48%45%2.22

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Cesena to Score First50%50%2.00

No Goal7%9%11.10

Avellino to Score First42%41%2.44

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Cesena Leads at Half-time32%––

Half-time Draw43%––

Avellino Leads at Half-time25%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 43 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Cesena vs Avellino match analysis

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Cesena face Avellino on 18 October 2026 (Serie B). The MatchIQ model rates a Cesena win at 46%, a draw at 29% and a Avellino win at 26%, which makes Cesena a clear favourite at 46%. The margin-free average of 43 bookmakers is 42%, 29% and 29% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.42 for Cesena and 1.19 for Avellino, 2.61 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 78%, over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.