Dynamo Dresden vs FC Magdeburg odds & probabilities

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · UK

Dynamo Dresden
22:49:00
FC Magdeburg

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Dynamo Dresden44%
Draw27%
FC Magdeburg29%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.57
Dynamo Dresden
xG
1.33
FC Magdeburg

Most likely scores

  1. 1–112%
  2. 2–19%
  3. 1–09%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Dynamo Dresden to Win44%38%2.64
Draw27%26%3.91
FC Magdeburg to Win29%37%2.74
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Dynamo Dresden or Draw71%64%1.57
FC Magdeburg or Draw56%62%1.61
Dynamo Dresden or FC Magdeburg to Win73%74%1.34
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals95%92%1.09
Under 0.5 Goals5%9%11.78
Over 1.5 Goals82%81%1.23
Under 1.5 Goals18%19%5.28
Over 2.5 Goals60%61%1.63
Under 2.5 Goals40%39%2.58
Over 3.5 Goals36%41%2.41
Under 3.5 Goals65%59%1.71
Over 4.5 Goals18%25%4.05
Under 4.5 Goals82%75%1.33
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes63%65%1.54
Both Teams to Score - No37%35%2.84
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Dynamo Dresden to Score First51%48%2.09
No Goal6%5%18.60
FC Magdeburg to Score First43%47%2.14
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Dynamo Dresden Leads at Half-time33%––
Half-time Draw41%––
FC Magdeburg Leads at Half-time26%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 48 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Dynamo Dresden vs FC Magdeburg match analysis

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Dynamo Dresden face FC Magdeburg on 18 October 2026 (2. Bundesliga). The MatchIQ model rates a Dynamo Dresden win at 44%, a draw at 27% and a FC Magdeburg win at 29%, which makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 44%. The margin-free average of 48 bookmakers is 38%, 26% and 37% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.57 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.33 for FC Magdeburg, 2.90 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 82%, over 2.5 at 60% and both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.

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