FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew prediction

MLS · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UK

FC Cincinnati

22:00

1d 7h

Columbus Crew

Our picks

Double chance
FC Cincinnati or Columbus Crew to Win
Model 77% · Bookmakers 76.1%
Odds1.2276%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

FC Cincinnati48%

Draw23%

Columbus Crew29%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.80

FC Cincinnati

1.47

Columbus Crew

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%

Why this pick?

The model gives "FC Cincinnati or Columbus Crew to Win" a 77% chance; the bookmaker average is 76%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: FC Cincinnati 1.80, Columbus Crew 1.47; most likely score 1-1 (10%). Average odds at publication: 1.22.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

FC Cincinnati to Win48%40%2.48

Draw23%24%4.18

Columbus Crew to Win29%36%2.80

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

FC Cincinnati or Draw71%64%1.56

Columbus Crew or Draw52%60%1.68

FC Cincinnati or Columbus Crew to WinMatchIQ pick77%76%1.31

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals97%94%1.06

Under 0.5 Goals3%6%16.95

Over 1.5 Goals85%86%1.17

Under 1.5 Goals15%14%6.96

Over 2.5 Goals66%69%1.45

Under 2.5 Goals34%31%3.21

Over 3.5 Goals44%50%2.00

Under 3.5 Goals56%50%2.00

Over 4.5 Goals25%32%3.12

Under 4.5 Goals75%68%1.47

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes65%70%1.43

Both Teams to Score - No35%30%3.33

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

FC Cincinnati to Score First53%50%2.02

No Goal4%4%25.36

Columbus Crew to Score First43%47%2.15

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

FC Cincinnati Leads at Half-time35%––

Half-time Draw38%––

Columbus Crew Leads at Half-time27%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew match analysis

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FC Cincinnati face Columbus Crew on 18 October 2026 (MLS). The MatchIQ model rates a FC Cincinnati win at 48%, a draw at 23% and a Columbus Crew win at 29%, which makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 48%. The margin-free average of 46 bookmakers is 40%, 24% and 36% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.80 for FC Cincinnati and 1.47 for Columbus Crew, 3.27 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 85%, over 2.5 at 66% and both teams to score at 65%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).

Featured pick: The model gives "FC Cincinnati or Columbus Crew to Win" a 77% chance; the bookmaker average is 76%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: FC Cincinnati 1.80, Columbus Crew 1.47; most likely score 1-1 (10%). Average odds at publication: 1.22.

We published 1 pick for this match; each is recorded at the odds available when it went out and settles automatically at full time. Confidence blends our model's probability with the market's; it is not a guarantee. Every past result, losses included, is on the Results page.