FC Twente vs Utrecht odds & probabilities

Eredivisie · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK

FC Twente

19:00

1d 5h

Utrecht

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

FC Twente58%

Draw24%

Utrecht18%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

2.12

FC Twente

1.06

Utrecht

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

FC Twente to Win58%71%1.40

Draw24%16%6.13

Utrecht to Win18%12%8.16

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

FC Twente or Draw82%88%1.14

Utrecht or Draw42%29%3.50

FC Twente or Utrecht to Win76%84%1.19

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals97%94%1.06

Under 0.5 Goals4%6%17.83

Over 1.5 Goals88%86%1.16

Under 1.5 Goals12%14%7.37

Over 2.5 Goals65%71%1.42

Under 2.5 Goals35%29%3.41

Over 3.5 Goals44%52%1.94

Under 3.5 Goals56%49%2.06

Over 4.5 Goals23%34%2.98

Under 4.5 Goals77%66%1.51

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes64%59%1.68

Both Teams to Score - No36%41%2.46

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

FC Twente to Score First64%69%1.44

No Goal4%4%23.33

Utrecht to Score First32%27%3.78

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

FC Twente Leads at Half-time45%––

Half-time Draw37%––

Utrecht Leads at Half-time18%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 48 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

FC Twente vs Utrecht match analysis

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FC Twente face Utrecht on 18 October 2026 (Eredivisie). The MatchIQ model rates a FC Twente win at 58%, a draw at 24% and a Utrecht win at 18%, which makes FC Twente a clear favourite at 58%. The margin-free average of 48 bookmakers is 71%, 16% and 12% respectively.

Expected goals are 2.12 for FC Twente and 1.06 for Utrecht, 3.18 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 88%, over 2.5 at 65% and both teams to score at 64%. Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.