LE Havre AC vs Auxerre odds & probabilities

Ligue 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · UK

LE Havre AC
1d 3h
Auxerre

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

LE Havre AC40%
Draw28%
Auxerre33%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.29
LE Havre AC
xG
1.18
Auxerre

Most likely scores

  1. 1–113%
  2. 1–011%
  3. 0–110%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
LE Havre AC to Win40%41%2.46
Draw28%28%3.58
Auxerre to Win33%31%3.18
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
LE Havre AC or Draw68%69%1.46
Auxerre or Draw60%59%1.68
LE Havre AC or Auxerre to Win72%72%1.39
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals91%91%1.10
Under 0.5 Goals9%9%11.19
Over 1.5 Goals74%74%1.35
Under 1.5 Goals26%26%3.83
Over 2.5 Goals52%51%1.97
Under 2.5 Goals48%49%2.03
Over 3.5 Goals29%30%3.32
Under 3.5 Goals71%70%1.43
Over 4.5 Goals12%16%6.41
Under 4.5 Goals88%84%1.19
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes53%56%1.80
Both Teams to Score - No47%44%2.26
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
LE Havre AC to Score First48%49%2.05
No Goal9%8%12.24
Auxerre to Score First44%43%2.33
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
LE Havre AC Leads at Half-time29%––
Half-time Draw45%––
Auxerre Leads at Half-time26%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 48 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

LE Havre AC vs Auxerre match analysis

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LE Havre AC face Auxerre on 18 October 2026 (Ligue 1). The MatchIQ model rates a LE Havre AC win at 40%, a draw at 28% and a Auxerre win at 33%, which makes LE Havre AC only a slight favourite in a balanced match at 40%. The margin-free average of 48 bookmakers is 41%, 28% and 31% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.29 for LE Havre AC and 1.18 for Auxerre, 2.47 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 74%, over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.

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