Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal odds & probabilities

Premier League · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UK

Nottingham Forest

16:30

1d 3h

Arsenal

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

What do you say? Vote

Match result odds

Nottingham Forest23%

Draw33%

Arsenal45%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

0.96

Nottingham Forest

1.47

Arsenal

Most likely scores

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Nottingham Forest to Win23%16%6.13

Draw33%25%4.08

Arsenal to Win45%59%1.69

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Nottingham Forest or Draw55%41%2.45

Arsenal or Draw77%84%1.20

Nottingham Forest or Arsenal to Win67%76%1.32

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals92%90%1.11

Under 0.5 Goals8%10%10.06

Over 1.5 Goals76%73%1.37

Under 1.5 Goals24%27%3.72

Over 2.5 Goals52%50%2.01

Under 2.5 Goals48%50%1.99

Over 3.5 Goals28%30%3.39

Under 3.5 Goals73%71%1.42

Over 4.5 Goals12%16%6.41

Under 4.5 Goals88%84%1.19

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes57%49%2.04

Both Teams to Score - No43%51%1.96

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Nottingham Forest to Score First36%29%3.46

No Goal9%9%11.17

Arsenal to Score First55%62%1.61

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Nottingham Forest Leads at Half-time20%––

Half-time Draw45%––

Arsenal Leads at Half-time35%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 48 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal match analysis

Download image

Nottingham Forest face Arsenal on 18 October 2026 (Premier League). The MatchIQ model rates a Nottingham Forest win at 23%, a draw at 33% and a Arsenal win at 45%, which makes Arsenal a clear favourite at 45%. The margin-free average of 48 bookmakers is 16%, 25% and 59% respectively.

Expected goals are 0.96 for Nottingham Forest and 1.47 for Arsenal, 2.43 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 76%, over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.