ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UK

ADO Den Haag

15:30

1d 6h

PSV Eindhoven

Our picks

Match result
PSV Eindhoven to Win
Model 69% · Bookmakers 74.4%
Odds1.2573%
First goal
PSV Eindhoven to Score First
Model 71% · Bookmakers 69.8%
Odds1.3070%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

ADO Den Haag12%

Draw19%

PSV Eindhoven69%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.03

ADO Den Haag

2.74

PSV Eindhoven

Most likely scores

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%

Why this pick?

The model gives "PSV Eindhoven to Win" a 69% chance; the bookmaker average is 74%, so the model is 5 points more cautious than the market. Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.03, PSV Eindhoven 2.74; most likely score 1-2 (9%). Average odds at publication: 1.25.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

ADO Den Haag to Win12%11%8.89

Draw19%14%6.97

PSV Eindhoven to WinMatchIQ pick69%74%1.34

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

ADO Den Haag or Draw31%26%3.91

PSV Eindhoven or Draw88%89%1.13

ADO Den Haag or PSV Eindhoven to Win81%86%1.17

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals97%48%2.08

Under 0.5 Goals3%52%1.93

Over 1.5 Goals91%89%1.13