VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Heidenheim prediction

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UK

VfL Wolfsburg

12:00

1d 3h

FC Heidenheim

Our picks

Double chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
Model 79% · Bookmakers 78%
Odds1.1978%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

VfL Wolfsburg55%

Draw23%

FC Heidenheim21%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

2.30

VfL Wolfsburg

1.49

FC Heidenheim

Most likely scores

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

Why this pick?

The model gives "VfL Wolfsburg or Draw" a 79% chance; the bookmaker average is 78%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: VfL Wolfsburg 2.30, FC Heidenheim 1.49; most likely score 2-1 (9%). Average odds at publication: 1.19; picks this short do not enter our bankroll.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

VfL Wolfsburg to Win55%55%1.81

Draw23%23%4.37

FC Heidenheim to Win21%22%4.55

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

VfL Wolfsburg or DrawMatchIQ pick79%78%1.28

FC Heidenheim or Draw45%45%2.23

VfL Wolfsburg or FC Heidenheim to Win77%77%1.30

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals97%93%1.07

Under 0.5 Goals3%7%14.86

Over 1.5 Goals86%85%1.17