Birmingham vs QPR prediction

Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK

Birmingham
15:00
1d 6h
QPR

Our picks

  • Double chance
    Birmingham or Draw
    77%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Birmingham56%
Draw26%
QPR18%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 0 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.87
Birmingham
xG
0.94
QPR

Most likely scores

  1. 1–011%
  2. 1–111%
  3. 2–011%

Why this pick?

The model's strongest view here is "Birmingham or Draw" (77% confidence). Expected goals: Birmingham 1.87, QPR 0.94; most likely score 1-0 (11%).

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Birmingham to Win56%––
Draw26%––
QPR to Win18%––
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Birmingham or DrawMatchIQ pick82%––
QPR or Draw45%––
Birmingham or QPR to Win74%––
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals94%––
Under 0.5 Goals6%––
Over 1.5 Goals80%––
Under 1.5 Goals20%––
Over 2.5 Goals56%––
Under 2.5 Goals44%––
Over 3.5 Goals31%––
Under 3.5 Goals69%––
Over 4.5 Goals11%––
Under 4.5 Goals89%––
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes59%––
Both Teams to Score - No41%––
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Birmingham to Score First63%––
No Goal6%––
QPR to Score First31%––
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Birmingham Leads at Half-time43%––
Half-time Draw40%––
QPR Leads at Half-time17%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 0 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

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