Ascoli vs Empoli prediction

Serie B · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK

Ascoli

14:00

1d 5h

Empoli

Our picks

Double chance
Ascoli or Draw
Model 81% · Bookmakers 76.9%
Odds1.2078%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Ascoli51%

Draw30%

Empoli19%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 41 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.37

Ascoli

0.86

Empoli

Most likely scores

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Ascoli or Draw" a 81% chance; the bookmaker average is 77%, so the model is 4 points more optimistic than the market. Expected goals: Ascoli 1.37, Empoli 0.86; most likely score 1-0 (15%). Average odds at publication: 1.20.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Ascoli to Win51%50%2.00

Draw30%27%3.72

Empoli to Win19%23%4.34

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Ascoli or DrawMatchIQ pick81%77%1.30

Empoli or Draw49%50%2.00

Ascoli or Empoli to Win70%73%1.37

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals91%89%1.12

Under 0.5 Goals9%11%9.14

Over 1.5 Goals75%74%1.36