Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction
Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07Our picks
- Double chanceWerder Bremen or DrawModel 84% · Bookmakers 76.5%Odds1.2378%
Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.
Match result odds
Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 49 bookmakers.
Expected goals
Most likely scores
- 1–015%
- 2–012%
- 1–112%
Why this pick?
The model gives "Werder Bremen or Draw" a 84% chance; the bookmaker average is 77%, so the model is 8 points more optimistic than the market. Expected goals: Werder Bremen 1.58, SC Paderborn 07 0.74; most likely score 1-0 (15%). Average odds at publication: 1.23.
Every market
Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.
Market: the margin-free average probability across 49 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.