Amed vs Konyaspor prediction

Super Lig · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK

Amed
14:00
1d 5h
Konyaspor

Our picks

  • Double chance
    Amed or Draw
    Model 88% · Bookmakers 75.4%
    Odds1.2479%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Amed60%
Draw28%
Konyaspor12%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 41 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.98
Amed
xG
0.81
Konyaspor

Most likely scores

  1. 1–012%
  2. 2–012%
  3. 1–110%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Amed or Draw" a 88% chance; the bookmaker average is 75%, so the model is 13 points more optimistic than the market. Expected goals: Amed 1.98, Konyaspor 0.81; most likely score 1-0 (12%). Average odds at publication: 1.24.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Amed to Win60%49%2.05
Draw28%27%3.77
Konyaspor to Win12%25%4.07
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Amed or DrawMatchIQ pick88%75%1.33
Konyaspor or Draw40%51%1.96
Amed or Konyaspor to Win72%74%1.36
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals93%90%1.11
Under 0.5 Goals7%10%9.85
Over 1.5 Goals78%74%1.36
Under 1.5 Goals22%27%3.78
Over 2.5 Goals57%50%2.00
Under 2.5 Goals43%50%2.00
Over 3.5 Goals31%30%3.39
Under 3.5 Goals69%71%1.42
Over 4.5 Goals15%16%6.43
Under 4.5 Goals85%84%1.18
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes53%54%1.87
Both Teams to Score - No47%46%2.15
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Amed to Score First67%55%1.83
No Goal6%9%11.11
Konyaspor to Score First27%36%2.75
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Amed Leads at Half-time46%––
Half-time Draw40%––
Konyaspor Leads at Half-time15%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 41 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

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