Fulham vs Hull City prediction

Premier League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK

Fulham
15:00
1d 6h
Hull City

Our picks

  • Double chance
    Fulham or Draw
    Model 74% · Bookmakers 79.4%
    Odds1.1978%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Fulham42%
Draw32%
Hull City26%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.54
Fulham
xG
1.16
Hull City

Most likely scores

  1. 1–112%
  2. 1–010%
  3. 2–19%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Fulham or Draw" a 74% chance; the bookmaker average is 79%, so the model is 5 points more cautious than the market. Expected goals: Fulham 1.54, Hull City 1.16; most likely score 1-1 (12%). Average odds at publication: 1.19; picks this short do not enter our bankroll.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Fulham to Win42%55%1.81
Draw32%24%4.12
Hull City to Win26%21%4.85
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Fulham or DrawMatchIQ pick74%79%1.26
Hull City or Draw59%45%2.23
Fulham or Hull City to Win68%76%1.32
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals93%92%1.09
Under 0.5 Goals7%9%11.78
Over 1.5 Goals78%77%1.30
Under 1.5 Goals22%23%4.30
Over 2.5 Goals55%54%1.84
Under 2.5 Goals45%46%2.19
Over 3.5 Goals31%34%2.97
Under 3.5 Goals69%66%1.51
Over 4.5 Goals14%19%5.39
Under 4.5 Goals86%81%1.23
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes58%55%1.83
Both Teams to Score - No42%45%2.21
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Fulham to Score First53%58%1.72
No Goal7%8%13.37
Hull City to Score First40%34%2.92
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Fulham Leads at Half-time34%––
Half-time Draw42%––
Hull City Leads at Half-time23%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 48 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

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