Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

MLS · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK

Austin
01:30
1d 16h
Vancouver Whitecaps

Our picks

  • Double chance
    Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw
    Model 79% · Bookmakers 79.9%
    Odds1.1680%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Austin21%
Draw22%
Vancouver Whitecaps57%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 38 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.04
Austin
xG
2.06
Vancouver Whitecaps

Most likely scores

  1. 1–210%
  2. 1–110%
  3. 0–210%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw" a 79% chance; the bookmaker average is 80%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: Austin 1.04, Vancouver Whitecaps 2.06; most likely score 1-2 (10%). Average odds at publication: 1.16; picks this short do not enter our bankroll.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Austin to Win21%20%4.98
Draw22%22%4.55
Vancouver Whitecaps to Win57%58%1.73
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Austin or Draw43%42%2.38
Vancouver Whitecaps or DrawMatchIQ pick79%80%1.25
Austin or Vancouver Whitecaps to Win78%78%1.28
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals96%92%1.08
Under 0.5 Goals4%8%12.88
Over 1.5 Goals84%82%1.22
Under 1.5 Goals16%18%5.47
Over 2.5 Goals64%63%1.58
Under 2.5 Goals36%37%2.71
Over 3.5 Goals42%43%2.31
Under 3.5 Goals58%57%1.76
Over 4.5 Goals23%26%3.88
Under 4.5 Goals77%74%1.35
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes64%61%1.63
Both Teams to Score - No37%39%2.58
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Austin to Score First32%35%2.88
No Goal5%5%20.92
Vancouver Whitecaps to Score First64%61%1.65
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Austin Leads at Half-time18%––
Half-time Draw38%––
Vancouver Whitecaps Leads at Half-time45%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 38 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

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