Bologna vs Inter odds & probabilities

Serie A · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK

Bologna

17:00

03:56:00

Inter

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Bologna18%

Draw22%

Inter61%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

0.90

Bologna

1.92

Inter

Most likely scores

0–112%
0–211%
1–110%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Bologna to Win18%17%5.73

Draw22%23%4.30

Inter to Win61%59%1.69

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Bologna or Draw39%41%2.46

Inter or Draw82%83%1.21

Bologna or Inter to Win78%77%1.30

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals93%93%1.08

Under 0.5 Goals7%8%13.38

Over 1.5 Goals75%79%1.27

Under 1.5 Goals25%21%4.73

Over 2.5 Goals54%58%1.73

Under 2.5 Goals47%42%2.36

Over 3.5 Goals27%37%2.69

Under 3.5 Goals73%63%1.59

Over 4.5 Goals15%21%4.75

Under 4.5 Goals85%79%1.27

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes48%56%1.80

Both Teams to Score - No52%44%2.26

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Bologna to Score First30%31%3.21

No Goal6%6%16.16

Inter to Score First64%63%1.60

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Bologna Leads at Half-time16%––

Half-time Draw40%––

Inter Leads at Half-time44%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 48 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Bologna vs Inter match analysis

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Bologna face Inter on 17 October 2026 (Serie A). The MatchIQ model rates a Bologna win at 18%, a draw at 22% and a Inter win at 61%, which makes Inter a clear favourite at 61%. The margin-free average of 48 bookmakers is 17%, 23% and 59% respectively.

Expected goals are 0.90 for Bologna and 1.92 for Inter, 2.82 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 75%, over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.