Bristol City vs Sheffield United odds & probabilities

Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK

Bristol City

15:00

01:53:00

Sheffield United

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Bristol City40%

Draw29%

Sheffield United31%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.44

Bristol City

1.21

Sheffield United

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Bristol City to Win40%45%2.20

Draw29%27%3.75

Sheffield United to Win31%28%3.58

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Bristol City or Draw69%72%1.39

Sheffield United or Draw60%55%1.83

Bristol City or Sheffield United to Win71%73%1.36

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals93%91%1.10

Under 0.5 Goals7%10%10.54

Over 1.5 Goals79%75%1.34

Under 1.5 Goals21%25%3.96

Over 2.5 Goals54%52%1.92

Under 2.5 Goals46%48%2.08

Over 3.5 Goals29%32%3.17

Under 3.5 Goals71%68%1.46

Over 4.5 Goals10%17%5.93

Under 4.5 Goals90%83%1.20

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes60%56%1.79

Both Teams to Score - No41%44%2.26

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Bristol City to Score First51%52%1.91

No Goal7%8%12.14

Sheffield United to Score First42%39%2.54

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Bristol City Leads at Half-time32%––

Half-time Draw43%––

Sheffield United Leads at Half-time25%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Bristol City vs Sheffield United match analysis

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Bristol City face Sheffield United on 17 October 2026 (Championship). The MatchIQ model rates a Bristol City win at 40%, a draw at 29% and a Sheffield United win at 31%, which makes Bristol City the favourite at 40%. The margin-free average of 46 bookmakers is 45%, 27% and 28% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.44 for Bristol City and 1.21 for Sheffield United, 2.65 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 79%, over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.