Carrarese vs Modena odds & probabilities

Serie B · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK

Carrarese

14:00

00:20:00

Modena

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Carrarese37%

Draw31%

Modena32%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 45 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.03

Carrarese

1.13

Modena

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Carrarese to Win37%22%4.57

Draw31%27%3.77

Modena to Win32%52%1.94

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Carrarese or Draw68%48%2.06

Modena or Draw63%78%1.28

Carrarese or Modena to Win69%73%1.36

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals90%90%1.12

Under 0.5 Goals10%11%9.51

Over 1.5 Goals74%74%1.35

Under 1.5 Goals26%26%3.90

Over 2.5 Goals46%51%1.95

Under 2.5 Goals54%49%2.06

Over 3.5 Goals22%31%3.21

Under 3.5 Goals78%69%1.45

Over 4.5 Goals8%17%5.91

Under 4.5 Goals92%83%1.20

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes50%54%1.85

Both Teams to Score - No50%46%2.18

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Carrarese to Score First42%36%2.78

No Goal12%8%12.23

Modena to Score First46%56%1.79

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Carrarese Leads at Half-time24%––

Half-time Draw48%––

Modena Leads at Half-time27%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 45 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Carrarese vs Modena match analysis

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Carrarese face Modena on 17 October 2026 (Serie B). The MatchIQ model rates a Carrarese win at 37%, a draw at 31% and a Modena win at 32%, which makes Carrarese only a slight favourite in a balanced match at 37%. The margin-free average of 45 bookmakers is 22%, 27% and 52% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.03 for Carrarese and 1.13 for Modena, 2.16 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 74%, over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.