Estac Troyes vs Lens prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK

Estac Troyes

19:45

1d 10h

Lens

Our picks

Double chance
Lens or Draw
Model 81% · Bookmakers 76.1%
Odds1.2477%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Estac Troyes19%

Draw22%

Lens60%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.07

Estac Troyes

2.22

Lens

Most likely scores

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Lens or Draw" a 81% chance; the bookmaker average is 76%, so the model is 5 points more optimistic than the market. Expected goals: Estac Troyes 1.07, Lens 2.22; most likely score 1-2 (10%). Average odds at publication: 1.24.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Estac Troyes to Win19%24%4.18

Draw22%24%4.14

Lens to Win60%52%1.93

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Estac Troyes or Draw40%48%2.08

Lens or DrawMatchIQ pick81%76%1.31

Estac Troyes or Lens to Win78%76%1.32

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals94%94%1.07

Under 0.5 Goals6%6%15.85

Over 1.5 Goals80%81%1.24