Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor prediction

Super Lig · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK

Fenerbahce
17:00
1d 8h
Alanyaspor

Our picks

  • First goal
    Fenerbahce to Score First
    Model 72% · Bookmakers 71.1%
    Odds1.2871%
  • Match result
    Fenerbahce to Win
    Model 67% · Bookmakers 72%
    Odds1.3071%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Fenerbahce67%
Draw25%
Alanyaspor8%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

2.18
Fenerbahce
xG
0.65
Alanyaspor

Most likely scores

  1. 2–014%
  2. 1–013%
  3. 3–010%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Fenerbahce to Score First" a 72% chance; the bookmaker average is 71%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: Fenerbahce 2.18, Alanyaspor 0.65; most likely score 2-0 (14%). Average odds at publication: 1.28.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Fenerbahce to WinMatchIQ pick67%72%1.39
Draw25%17%5.77
Alanyaspor to Win8%11%9.38
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Fenerbahce or Draw92%89%1.12
Alanyaspor or Draw33%28%3.57
Fenerbahce or Alanyaspor to Win75%83%1.21
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals93%94%1.07
Under 0.5 Goals7%6%15.63
Over 1.5 Goals78%80%1.25
Under 1.5 Goals22%20%4.96
Over 2.5 Goals57%60%1.67
Under 2.5 Goals43%40%2.50
Over 3.5 Goals31%39%2.55
Under 3.5 Goals69%61%1.65
Over 4.5 Goals15%23%4.41
Under 4.5 Goals85%77%1.29
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes52%49%2.06
Both Teams to Score - No48%51%1.95
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Fenerbahce to Score FirstMatchIQ pick73%71%1.41
No Goal6%6%17.92
Alanyaspor to Score First22%23%4.29
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Fenerbahce Leads at Half-time52%––
Half-time Draw38%––
Alanyaspor Leads at Half-time11%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

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