Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli odds & probabilities

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK

Hannover 96

19:30

05:47:00

FC St. Pauli

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Hannover 9649%

Draw28%

FC St. Pauli24%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.55

Hannover 96

1.09

FC St. Pauli

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Hannover 96 to Win49%43%2.31

Draw28%25%3.99

FC St. Pauli to Win24%32%3.17

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Hannover 96 or Draw76%68%1.46

FC St. Pauli or Draw51%57%1.77

Hannover 96 or FC St. Pauli to Win73%75%1.33

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals95%92%1.09

Under 0.5 Goals5%8%12.65

Over 1.5 Goals80%81%1.23

Under 1.5 Goals20%19%5.31

Over 2.5 Goals57%61%1.64

Under 2.5 Goals43%39%2.55

Over 3.5 Goals32%41%2.46

Under 3.5 Goals68%59%1.69

Over 4.5 Goals16%24%4.13

Under 4.5 Goals84%76%1.32

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes62%64%1.58

Both Teams to Score - No38%37%2.74

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Hannover 96 to Score First55%51%1.95

No Goal7%6%16.71

FC St. Pauli to Score First38%43%2.34

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Hannover 96 Leads at Half-time35%––

Half-time Draw43%––

FC St. Pauli Leads at Half-time22%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli match analysis

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Hannover 96 face FC St. Pauli on 17 October 2026 (2. Bundesliga). The MatchIQ model rates a Hannover 96 win at 49%, a draw at 28% and a FC St. Pauli win at 24%, which makes Hannover 96 a clear favourite at 49%. The margin-free average of 46 bookmakers is 43%, 25% and 32% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.55 for Hannover 96 and 1.09 for FC St. Pauli, 2.64 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 80%, over 2.5 at 57% and both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.