Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas prediction

MLS · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK

Houston Dynamo

01:30

1d 16h

FC Dallas

Our picks

Total goals
Over 1.5 Goals
Model 81% · Bookmakers 76.9%
Odds1.2178%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Houston Dynamo42%

Draw26%

FC Dallas33%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.36

Houston Dynamo

1.28

FC Dallas

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Over 1.5 Goals" a 81% chance; the bookmaker average is 77%, so the model is 4 points more optimistic than the market. Expected goals: Houston Dynamo 1.36, FC Dallas 1.28; most likely score 1-1 (12%). Average odds at publication: 1.21.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Houston Dynamo to Win42%46%2.19

Draw26%26%3.81

FC Dallas to Win33%28%3.56

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Houston Dynamo or Draw67%72%1.39

FC Dallas or Draw58%54%1.84

Houston Dynamo or FC Dallas to Win74%74%1.36

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals95%91%1.10

Under 0.5 Goals5%9%10.84

Over 1.5 GoalsMatchIQ pick81%77%1.30