Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK

Lille

19:45

1d 10h

Stade Brestois 29

Our picks

Double chance
Lille or Draw
Model 83% · Bookmakers 76.7%
Odds1.2378%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Lille59%

Draw24%

Stade Brestois 2917%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 44 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.90

Lille

0.93

Stade Brestois 29

Most likely scores

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Lille or Draw" a 83% chance; the bookmaker average is 77%, so the model is 6 points more optimistic than the market. Expected goals: Lille 1.90, Stade Brestois 29 0.93; most likely score 1-0 (11%). Average odds at publication: 1.23.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Lille to Win59%52%1.92

Draw24%25%4.08

Stade Brestois 29 to Win17%23%4.29

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Lille or DrawMatchIQ pick83%77%1.30

Stade Brestois 29 or Draw41%48%2.09

Lille or Stade Brestois 29 to Win76%76%1.32

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals93%93%1.08

Under 0.5 Goals7%7%13.50

Over 1.5 Goals77%78%1.29