Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego odds & probabilities

MLS · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 03:30 UK

Los Angeles Galaxy

03:30

13:47:00

San Diego

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Los Angeles Galaxy44%

Draw23%

San Diego33%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 39 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.75

Los Angeles Galaxy

1.59

San Diego

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Los Angeles Galaxy to Win44%45%2.24

Draw23%24%4.19

San Diego to Win33%31%3.19

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw67%69%1.46

San Diego or Draw56%55%1.81

Los Angeles Galaxy or San Diego to Win77%76%1.31

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals97%93%1.08

Under 0.5 Goals3%7%13.87

Over 1.5 Goals85%85%1.17

Under 1.5 Goals15%15%6.75

Over 2.5 Goals67%68%1.47

Under 2.5 Goals33%32%3.12

Over 3.5 Goals45%49%2.05

Under 3.5 Goals55%51%1.95

Over 4.5 Goals26%31%3.26

Under 4.5 Goals75%69%1.44

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes66%69%1.46

Both Teams to Score - No34%31%3.19

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Los Angeles Galaxy to Score First51%53%1.90

No Goal4%4%25.45

San Diego to Score First46%44%2.30

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Los Angeles Galaxy Leads at Half-time33%––

Half-time Draw38%––

San Diego Leads at Half-time29%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 39 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego match analysis

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Los Angeles Galaxy face San Diego on 17 October 2026 (MLS). The MatchIQ model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win at 44%, a draw at 23% and a San Diego win at 33%, which makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 44%. The margin-free average of 39 bookmakers is 45%, 24% and 31% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.75 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.59 for San Diego, 3.34 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 85%, over 2.5 at 67% and both teams to score at 66%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.