Manchester City vs Ipswich prediction

Premier League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK

Manchester City
15:00
1d 6h
Ipswich

Our picks

  • Match result
    Manchester City to Win
    Model 64% · Bookmakers 77%
    Odds1.2274%
  • First goal
    Manchester City to Score First
    Model 70% · Bookmakers 72.9%
    Odds1.2572%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Manchester City64%
Draw25%
Ipswich12%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 47 bookmakers.

Expected goals

2.60
Manchester City
xG
1.01
Ipswich

Most likely scores

  1. 2–19%
  2. 2–09%
  3. 3–18%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Manchester City to Win" a 64% chance; the bookmaker average is 77%, so the model is 13 points more cautious than the market. Expected goals: Manchester City 2.60, Ipswich 1.01; most likely score 2-1 (9%). Average odds at publication: 1.22.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Manchester City to WinMatchIQ pick64%77%1.30
Draw25%14%7.14
Ipswich to Win12%9%11.09
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Manchester City or Draw89%91%1.10
Ipswich or Draw36%23%4.34
Manchester City or Ipswich to Win75%86%1.16
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals96%94%1.06
Under 0.5 Goals4%6%16.84
Over 1.5 Goals84%86%1.17
Under 1.5 Goals16%15%6.88
Over 2.5 Goals65%70%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals35%31%3.28
Over 3.5 Goals41%50%2.02
Under 3.5 Goals59%51%1.98
Over 4.5 Goals21%31%3.24
Under 4.5 Goals79%69%1.45
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes59%53%1.90
Both Teams to Score - No41%48%2.11
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Manchester City to Score FirstMatchIQ pick70%73%1.37
No Goal3%4%23.05
Ipswich to Score First27%23%4.39
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Manchester City Leads at Half-time53%––
Half-time Draw33%––
Ipswich Leads at Half-time14%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 47 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

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