Mantova vs Palermo odds & probabilities

Serie B · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK

Mantova

16:15

03:10:00

Palermo

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Mantova38%

Draw28%

Palermo35%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 45 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.38

Mantova

1.53

Palermo

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Mantova to Win38%29%3.45

Draw28%28%3.60

Palermo to Win35%43%2.31

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Mantova or Draw66%57%1.76

Palermo or Draw62%71%1.41

Mantova or Palermo to Win73%72%1.38

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals94%90%1.11

Under 0.5 Goals7%10%10.16

Over 1.5 Goals80%77%1.31

Under 1.5 Goals20%24%4.25

Over 2.5 Goals55%54%1.84

Under 2.5 Goals45%46%2.19

Over 3.5 Goals30%34%2.91

Under 3.5 Goals70%66%1.52

Over 4.5 Goals13%19%5.31

Under 4.5 Goals88%81%1.23

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes54%59%1.70

Both Teams to Score - No46%41%2.43

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Mantova to Score First45%42%2.37

No Goal6%8%13.37

Palermo to Score First50%50%1.99

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Mantova Leads at Half-time28%––

Half-time Draw41%––

Palermo Leads at Half-time32%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 45 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Mantova vs Palermo match analysis

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Mantova face Palermo on 17 October 2026 (Serie B). The MatchIQ model rates a Mantova win at 38%, a draw at 28% and a Palermo win at 35%, which makes Mantova only a slight favourite in a balanced match at 38%. The margin-free average of 45 bookmakers is 29%, 28% and 43% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.38 for Mantova and 1.53 for Palermo, 2.91 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 80%, over 2.5 at 55% and both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.