New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC prediction

MLS · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK

New York Red Bulls

00:30

1d 15h

Toronto FC

Our picks

Double chance
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC to Win
Model 77% · Bookmakers 75.8%
Odds1.2276%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

New York Red Bulls50%

Draw23%

Toronto FC26%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 40 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.80

New York Red Bulls

1.32

Toronto FC

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%

Why this pick?

The model gives "New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC to Win" a 77% chance; the bookmaker average is 76%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: New York Red Bulls 1.80, Toronto FC 1.32; most likely score 1-1 (11%). Average odds at publication: 1.22.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

New York Red Bulls to Win50%46%2.18

Draw23%24%4.13

Toronto FC to Win26%30%3.33

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

New York Red Bulls or Draw74%70%1.43

Toronto FC or Draw50%54%1.84

New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC to WinMatchIQ pick77%76%1.32

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals96%93%1.08

Under 0.5 Goals4%7%13.87

Over 1.5 Goals84%84%1.19