Orlando City vs DC United prediction

MLS · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK

Orlando City
00:30
1d 15h
DC United

Our picks

  • Double chance
    Orlando City or DC United to Win
    Model 78% · Bookmakers 77.2%
    Odds1.2077%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Orlando City54%
Draw22%
DC United25%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

2.07
Orlando City
xG
1.43
DC United

Most likely scores

  1. 2–19%
  2. 1–19%
  3. 2–27%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Orlando City or DC United to Win" a 78% chance; the bookmaker average is 77%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: Orlando City 2.07, DC United 1.43; most likely score 2-1 (9%). Average odds at publication: 1.20.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Orlando City to Win54%52%1.93
Draw22%23%4.38
DC United to Win25%25%3.96
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Orlando City or Draw76%75%1.34
DC United or Draw47%48%2.08
Orlando City or DC United to WinMatchIQ pick78%77%1.30
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals97%95%1.05
Under 0.5 Goals3%5%21.79
Over 1.5 Goals86%86%1.16
Under 1.5 Goals14%14%7.17
Over 2.5 Goals68%69%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals32%31%3.26
Over 3.5 Goals47%50%1.99
Under 3.5 Goals53%50%2.01
Over 4.5 Goals27%32%3.09
Under 4.5 Goals73%68%1.48
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes66%69%1.46
Both Teams to Score - No34%32%3.18
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Orlando City to Score First57%57%1.76
No Goal3%3%28.99
DC United to Score First40%40%2.51
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Orlando City Leads at Half-time40%––
Half-time Draw36%––
DC United Leads at Half-time24%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

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