Padova vs Virtus Entella odds & probabilities

Serie B · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK

Padova

14:00

00:55:00

Virtus Entella

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Padova44%

Draw31%

Virtus Entella25%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 45 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.20

Padova

1.00

Virtus Entella

Most likely scores

1–013%
1–113%
0–011%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Padova to Win44%38%2.60

Draw31%31%3.26

Virtus Entella to Win25%31%3.24

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Padova or Draw75%69%1.45

Virtus Entella or Draw56%62%1.62

Padova or Virtus Entella to Win69%69%1.44

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals91%87%1.15

Under 0.5 Goals10%13%7.85

Over 1.5 Goals74%68%1.47

Under 1.5 Goals26%32%3.12

Over 2.5 Goals47%43%2.32

Under 2.5 Goals54%57%1.76

Over 3.5 Goals22%25%4.09

Under 3.5 Goals78%76%1.32

Over 4.5 Goals8%12%8.08

Under 4.5 Goals92%88%1.14

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes50%50%1.99

Both Teams to Score - No50%50%2.01

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Padova to Score First49%47%2.11

No Goal11%11%8.91

Virtus Entella to Score First40%41%2.42

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Padova Leads at Half-time29%––

Half-time Draw48%––

Virtus Entella Leads at Half-time23%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 45 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Padova vs Virtus Entella match analysis

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Padova face Virtus Entella on 17 October 2026 (Serie B). The MatchIQ model rates a Padova win at 44%, a draw at 31% and a Virtus Entella win at 25%, which makes Padova the favourite at 44%. The margin-free average of 45 bookmakers is 38%, 31% and 31% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.20 for Padova and 1.00 for Virtus Entella, 2.20 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 74%, over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.