Paris FC vs Rennes FC odds & probabilities

Ligue 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK

Paris FC

16:15

1d 1h

Rennes FC

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Paris FC40%

Draw25%

Rennes FC35%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.54

Paris FC

1.48

Rennes FC

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Paris FC to Win40%42%2.40

Draw25%27%3.73

Rennes FC to Win35%32%3.18

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Paris FC or Draw65%69%1.46

Rennes FC or Draw60%58%1.72

Paris FC or Rennes FC to Win75%73%1.37

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals93%92%1.09

Under 0.5 Goals7%8%12.54

Over 1.5 Goals78%79%1.27

Under 1.5 Goals22%22%4.65

Over 2.5 Goals59%57%1.75

Under 2.5 Goals41%43%2.34

Over 3.5 Goals36%37%2.69

Under 3.5 Goals64%63%1.59

Over 4.5 Goals16%21%4.83

Under 4.5 Goals84%79%1.26

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes55%61%1.63

Both Teams to Score - No45%39%2.59

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Paris FC to Score First49%50%2.00

No Goal5%7%14.41

Rennes FC to Score First47%43%2.33

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Paris FC Leads at Half-time31%––

Half-time Draw40%––

Rennes FC Leads at Half-time29%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 48 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Paris FC vs Rennes FC match analysis

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Paris FC face Rennes FC on 18 October 2026 (Ligue 1). The MatchIQ model rates a Paris FC win at 40%, a draw at 25% and a Rennes FC win at 35%, which makes Paris FC only a slight favourite in a balanced match at 40%. The margin-free average of 48 bookmakers is 42%, 27% and 32% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.54 for Paris FC and 1.48 for Rennes FC, 3.02 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 78%, over 2.5 at 59% and both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.