Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte prediction

MLS · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK

Philadelphia Union

19:30

1d 10h

Charlotte

Our picks

Double chance
Philadelphia Union or Charlotte to Win
Model 78% · Bookmakers 78.9%
Odds1.1879%

Odds: median bookmaker price when the pick was published (≈ means derived from the market probability). Only the picks in this box count towards our record.

Match result odds

Philadelphia Union55%

Draw22%

Charlotte23%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.99

Philadelphia Union

1.31

Charlotte

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–110%
1–07%

Why this pick?

The model gives "Philadelphia Union or Charlotte to Win" a 78% chance; the bookmaker average is 79%, so the model is in line with the market. Expected goals: Philadelphia Union 1.99, Charlotte 1.31; most likely score 1-1 (10%). Average odds at publication: 1.18; picks this short do not enter our bankroll.

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Philadelphia Union to Win55%59%1.69

Draw22%21%4.74

Charlotte to Win23%20%5.03

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Philadelphia Union or Draw77%80%1.25

Charlotte or Draw46%41%2.44

Philadelphia Union or Charlotte to WinMatchIQ pick78%79%1.27

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals97%93%1.08

Under 0.5 Goals3%7%13.87

Over 1.5 Goals85%85%1.18