Pisa vs Cremonese odds & probabilities

Serie B · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UK

Pisa

18:30

05:26:00

Cremonese

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Pisa56%

Draw27%

Cremonese16%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 45 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.65

Pisa

0.91

Cremonese

Most likely scores

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Pisa to Win56%43%2.31

Draw27%29%3.44

Cremonese to Win16%28%3.62

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Pisa or Draw84%72%1.38

Cremonese or Draw44%57%1.76

Pisa or Cremonese to Win73%71%1.41

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals92%88%1.13

Under 0.5 Goals8%12%8.48

Over 1.5 Goals77%70%1.44

Under 1.5 Goals23%30%3.30

Over 2.5 Goals51%45%2.21

Under 2.5 Goals49%55%1.83

Over 3.5 Goals26%26%3.89

Under 3.5 Goals74%74%1.35

Over 4.5 Goals10%13%7.60

Under 4.5 Goals90%87%1.15

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes51%51%1.97

Both Teams to Score - No49%49%2.03

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Pisa to Score First60%50%1.99

No Goal8%11%9.49

Cremonese to Score First33%39%2.55

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Pisa Leads at Half-time39%––

Half-time Draw43%––

Cremonese Leads at Half-time18%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 45 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Pisa vs Cremonese match analysis

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Pisa face Cremonese on 17 October 2026 (Serie B). The MatchIQ model rates a Pisa win at 56%, a draw at 27% and a Cremonese win at 16%, which makes Pisa a clear favourite at 56%. The margin-free average of 45 bookmakers is 43%, 29% and 28% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.65 for Pisa and 0.91 for Cremonese, 2.56 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 77%, over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.