Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids odds & probabilities

MLS · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 03:30 UK

Portland Timbers

03:30

14:23:00

Colorado Rapids

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Portland Timbers45%

Draw25%

Colorado Rapids30%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.53

Portland Timbers

1.31

Colorado Rapids

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Portland Timbers to Win45%45%2.25

Draw25%25%4.06

Colorado Rapids to Win30%31%3.24

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Portland Timbers or Draw70%69%1.45

Colorado Rapids or Draw55%56%1.80

Portland Timbers or Colorado Rapids to Win75%75%1.33

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals96%92%1.09

Under 0.5 Goals4%9%11.78

Over 1.5 Goals82%82%1.22

Under 1.5 Goals18%18%5.65

Over 2.5 Goals62%63%1.58

Under 2.5 Goals38%37%2.71

Over 3.5 Goals39%43%2.33

Under 3.5 Goals61%57%1.75

Over 4.5 Goals21%26%3.88

Under 4.5 Goals79%74%1.35

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes64%65%1.53

Both Teams to Score - No36%35%2.88

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Portland Timbers to Score First51%53%1.90

No Goal6%5%20.18

Colorado Rapids to Score First43%43%2.35

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Portland Timbers Leads at Half-time32%––

Half-time Draw41%––

Colorado Rapids Leads at Half-time26%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids match analysis

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Portland Timbers face Colorado Rapids on 17 October 2026 (MLS). The MatchIQ model rates a Portland Timbers win at 45%, a draw at 25% and a Colorado Rapids win at 30%, which makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 45%. The margin-free average of 46 bookmakers is 45%, 25% and 31% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.53 for Portland Timbers and 1.31 for Colorado Rapids, 2.84 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 82%, over 2.5 at 62% and both teams to score at 64%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.