SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg odds & probabilities

Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK

SV Elversberg

14:30

01:23:00

FC Augsburg

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

SV Elversberg46%

Draw24%

FC Augsburg30%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 49 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.86

SV Elversberg

1.54

FC Augsburg

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

SV Elversberg to Win46%39%2.59

Draw24%25%3.98

FC Augsburg to Win30%36%2.75

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

SV Elversberg or Draw70%64%1.57

FC Augsburg or Draw54%62%1.63

SV Elversberg or FC Augsburg to Win76%75%1.34

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals97%93%1.07

Under 0.5 Goals3%7%14.81

Over 1.5 Goals88%84%1.20

Under 1.5 Goals12%16%6.10

Over 2.5 Goals70%65%1.53

Under 2.5 Goals31%35%2.89

Over 3.5 Goals50%45%2.21

Under 3.5 Goals50%55%1.82

Over 4.5 Goals27%27%3.65

Under 4.5 Goals73%73%1.38

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes67%67%1.49

Both Teams to Score - No33%33%3.06

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

SV Elversberg to Score First53%49%2.06

No Goal3%5%18.91

FC Augsburg to Score First44%46%2.17

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

SV Elversberg Leads at Half-time36%––

Half-time Draw37%––

FC Augsburg Leads at Half-time27%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 49 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg match analysis

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SV Elversberg face FC Augsburg on 17 October 2026 (Bundesliga). The MatchIQ model rates a SV Elversberg win at 46%, a draw at 24% and a FC Augsburg win at 30%, which makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 46%. The margin-free average of 49 bookmakers is 39%, 25% and 36% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.86 for SV Elversberg and 1.54 for FC Augsburg, 3.40 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 88%, over 2.5 at 70% and both teams to score at 67%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.