Swansea vs West Ham odds & probabilities

Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK

Swansea

15:00

00:35:00

West Ham

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Swansea22%

Draw26%

West Ham52%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.12

Swansea

1.88

West Ham

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Swansea to Win22%31%3.27

Draw26%26%3.86

West Ham to Win52%44%2.30

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Swansea or Draw48%57%1.77

West Ham or Draw78%69%1.44

Swansea or West Ham to Win74%74%1.35

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals95%92%1.09

Under 0.5 Goals5%8%11.88

Over 1.5 Goals81%77%1.30

Under 1.5 Goals19%23%4.33

Over 2.5 Goals58%55%1.82

Under 2.5 Goals42%45%2.21

Over 3.5 Goals33%34%2.94

Under 3.5 Goals67%66%1.52

Over 4.5 Goals12%19%5.39

Under 4.5 Goals88%81%1.23

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes60%58%1.71

Both Teams to Score - No40%42%2.40

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Swansea to Score First36%42%2.40

No Goal5%7%14.34

West Ham to Score First59%51%1.95

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Swansea Leads at Half-time20%––

Half-time Draw39%––

West Ham Leads at Half-time40%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Swansea vs West Ham match analysis

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Swansea face West Ham on 17 October 2026 (Championship). The MatchIQ model rates a Swansea win at 22%, a draw at 26% and a West Ham win at 52%, which makes West Ham a clear favourite at 52%. The margin-free average of 46 bookmakers is 31%, 26% and 44% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.12 for Swansea and 1.88 for West Ham, 3.00 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 81%, over 2.5 at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.