Telstar vs Feyenoord odds & probabilities

Eredivisie · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · UK

Telstar
05:54:00
Feyenoord

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Telstar16%
Draw22%
Feyenoord63%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.03
Telstar
xG
2.30
Feyenoord

Most likely scores

  1. 1–210%
  2. 0–29%
  3. 1–19%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds
Telstar to Win16%12%8.08
Draw22%17%5.93
Feyenoord to Win63%71%1.41
Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds
Telstar or Draw38%29%3.42
Feyenoord or Draw84%88%1.14
Telstar or Feyenoord to Win78%83%1.20
Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds
Over 0.5 Goals97%94%1.06
Under 0.5 Goals3%6%16.57
Over 1.5 Goals89%86%1.17
Under 1.5 Goals11%14%7.05
Over 2.5 Goals67%71%1.42
Under 2.5 Goals33%30%3.39
Over 3.5 Goals46%52%1.93
Under 3.5 Goals54%48%2.07
Over 4.5 Goals25%34%2.96
Under 4.5 Goals75%66%1.51
Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds
Both Teams to Score - Yes64%60%1.67
Both Teams to Score - No36%40%2.49
First goalModelMarket≈Odds
Telstar to Score First30%28%3.62
No Goal4%4%25.76
Feyenoord to Score First67%69%1.46
Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds
Telstar Leads at Half-time16%––
Half-time Draw35%––
Feyenoord Leads at Half-time48%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Telstar vs Feyenoord match analysis

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Telstar face Feyenoord on 17 October 2026 (Eredivisie). The MatchIQ model rates a Telstar win at 16%, a draw at 22% and a Feyenoord win at 63%, which makes Feyenoord a clear favourite at 63%. The margin-free average of 46 bookmakers is 12%, 17% and 71% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.03 for Telstar and 2.30 for Feyenoord, 3.33 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 89%, over 2.5 at 67% and both teams to score at 64%. Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.

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