Watford vs Charlton odds & probabilities

Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK

Watford

In play

Charlton

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

What do you say? Vote

Match result odds

Watford47%

Draw29%

Charlton24%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 46 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.48

Watford

0.96

Charlton

Most likely scores

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Watford to Win47%39%2.57

Draw29%28%3.55

Charlton to Win24%33%3.04

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Watford or Draw76%67%1.49

Charlton or Draw53%61%1.64

Watford or Charlton to Win71%72%1.39

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals93%90%1.11

Under 0.5 Goals7%10%9.71

Over 1.5 Goals77%73%1.38

Under 1.5 Goals23%27%3.66

Over 2.5 Goals52%50%2.02

Under 2.5 Goals48%51%1.98

Over 3.5 Goals26%29%3.44

Under 3.5 Goals74%71%1.41

Over 4.5 Goals9%15%6.81

Under 4.5 Goals91%85%1.17

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes58%55%1.83

Both Teams to Score - No42%45%2.20

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Watford to Score First55%48%2.10

No Goal9%9%11.25

Charlton to Score First36%44%2.29

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Watford Leads at Half-time35%––

Half-time Draw45%––

Charlton Leads at Half-time20%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 46 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Watford vs Charlton match analysis

Download image

Watford face Charlton on 17 October 2026 (Championship). The MatchIQ model rates a Watford win at 47%, a draw at 29% and a Charlton win at 24%, which makes Watford a clear favourite at 47%. The margin-free average of 46 bookmakers is 39%, 28% and 33% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.48 for Watford and 0.96 for Charlton, 2.44 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 77%, over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.