Wrexham vs Preston odds & probabilities

Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK

Wrexham

15:00

00:07:00

Preston

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

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Match result odds

Wrexham57%

Draw26%

Preston17%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 37 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.89

Wrexham

0.89

Preston

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Wrexham to Win57%56%1.78

Draw26%24%4.10

Preston to Win17%19%5.16

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Wrexham or Draw83%81%1.24

Preston or Draw43%44%2.28

Wrexham or Preston to Win74%76%1.32

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals94%91%1.10

Under 0.5 Goals6%9%11.00

Over 1.5 Goals80%75%1.34

Under 1.5 Goals21%25%3.96

Over 2.5 Goals56%52%1.92

Under 2.5 Goals44%48%2.09

Over 3.5 Goals30%32%3.14

Under 3.5 Goals70%68%1.47

Over 4.5 Goals11%17%5.91

Under 4.5 Goals90%83%1.20

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes59%52%1.91

Both Teams to Score - No41%48%2.10

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Wrexham to Score First64%60%1.68

No Goal6%8%12.26

Preston to Score First30%32%3.11

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Wrexham Leads at Half-time44%––

Half-time Draw40%––

Preston Leads at Half-time16%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 37 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Wrexham vs Preston match analysis

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Wrexham face Preston on 17 October 2026 (Championship). The MatchIQ model rates a Wrexham win at 57%, a draw at 26% and a Preston win at 17%, which makes Wrexham a clear favourite at 57%. The margin-free average of 37 bookmakers is 56%, 24% and 19% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.89 for Wrexham and 0.89 for Preston, 2.78 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 80%, over 2.5 at 56% and both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.