Brentford vs Liverpool odds & probabilities

Premier League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK

Brentford

In play

Liverpool

No pick on this match

The model priced this match, but no outcome made our confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities below are for information only; they are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

What do you say? Vote

Match result odds

Brentford36%

Draw31%

Liverpool33%

Bars show our model; the white tick is the average of 48 bookmakers.

Expected goals

1.56

Brentford

1.45

Liverpool

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%

Every market

Every probability the model calculated for this match. Rows marked in green are inside our confidence band and are our picks; the rest are for information only, are not recommendations and do not count towards our record.

Match resultModelMarket≈Odds

Brentford to Win36%40%2.48

Draw31%26%3.83

Liverpool to Win33%34%2.97

Double chanceModelMarket≈Odds

Brentford or Draw67%66%1.51

Liverpool or Draw64%60%1.67

Brentford or Liverpool to Win69%74%1.35

Total goalsModelMarket≈Odds

Over 0.5 Goals94%93%1.07

Under 0.5 Goals6%7%14.48

Over 1.5 Goals80%81%1.24

Under 1.5 Goals20%19%5.15

Over 2.5 Goals59%60%1.66

Under 2.5 Goals41%40%2.52

Over 3.5 Goals35%40%2.52

Under 3.5 Goals65%60%1.66

Over 4.5 Goals16%23%4.40

Under 4.5 Goals84%77%1.29

Both teams to scoreModelMarket≈Odds

Both Teams to Score - Yes60%63%1.58

Both Teams to Score - No40%37%2.73

First goalModelMarket≈Odds

Brentford to Score First49%49%2.02

No Goal5%6%16.80

Liverpool to Score First46%45%2.24

Half-timeModelMarket≈Odds

Brentford Leads at Half-time32%––

Half-time Draw40%––

Liverpool Leads at Half-time29%––

Market: the margin-free average probability across 48 bookmakers. ≈Odds are derived from it; real bookmaker prices are slightly shorter.

Brentford vs Liverpool match analysis

Download image

Brentford face Liverpool on 17 October 2026 (Premier League). The MatchIQ model rates a Brentford win at 36%, a draw at 31% and a Liverpool win at 33%, which makes Brentford only a slight favourite in a balanced match at 36%. The margin-free average of 48 bookmakers is 40%, 26% and 34% respectively.

Expected goals are 1.56 for Brentford and 1.45 for Liverpool, 3.01 in total. That puts over 1.5 goals at 80%, over 2.5 at 59% and both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

This match falls outside the model's confidence band, so we did not publish a pick. The probabilities above are for information only and do not count towards our record. What do you think? Vote in the Tribün.